Brexit - What's happened?

The hard part is over. Enough voters made an educated decision to leave the European Union. The overwhelming majority of voters did so to restore Britain's sovereignty and democracy, and to ensure that in the future British laws are passed by our parliament made up of our citizens.

As usual after an election the a large number of supporters of the losing side are now shouting. And for the most part shouting ridiculous suggestions. The following three are my favorites.

• Hold a second referendum on our membership of the European Union.
• London to become its own independent state.
• Scotland to hold a second referendum on its membership of the United Kingdom.

Lets discuss these points raised by the opposition.

• A second referendum on the UK's membership of the European union seems highly unlikely, regardless of how many signatures the petition of parliament petitions gets. This is because Britain has always been different to the rest of the European union. Other European Union countries have held referendums before and when the public went against the establishment, the establishment asked them to vote again and sometimes even a third time to ensure that they got the vote they wanted, which generally led to closer union. In the UK the public has spoken, and our voice will be heard and the decision of the majority will be honored. As such I doubt this would ever happen.
• The second point where a vast number of residents of London have signed a petition for London to become its own independent state doesn't even warrant discussion. This suggestion is a preposterous as it sounds. It will not happen, regardless of the way the majority of London voted. (I am a resident in London, Newham constituency, and I voted Leave.)
• Scotland holding a second referendum doesn't sound impossible. However, all of their original arguments for leaving the United Kingdom when they held their first referendum on the issue will for a large part now be invalid. As the UK leaves the EU Scotland will no longer be in the EU to suggest a change in the rules where it could be an immediate member. The economy of an independent Scotland would not manage in today's climate, this point is not arguable. Oil prices recovering is now considered $50/barrel. These figures are not anywhere near the values needed for oil to be the industry Scotland needs it to be, and their other economic arguments now our either weaker or outright absurd. 

Onto the result and its immediate ramifications as a whole.

In the mainstream media we saw three 'major' economic ramifications of the UK's actions (it felt like we were being chastised all day.)

Looking below we can see how some of the headlines compares with their one month and one year graphs of their performance. (Granted these basic analysis graph's don't take into account inflation and other factors, however over a year the effects of these are minimal.) 

• 'The cable rate plunged' - GBP/USD. There is no way of a brexiteer sugar coating this. Unless you work for a US company and get paid in dollars. GBP/USD is at a 5 year low, however, this is mostly due to the over confidence of the city and financial institutions investing heavily in the pound late on the 23rd.

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 1 Month

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 5 Year

  
  

• 'The FTSE 100 plummets' - To give this some perspective see below. We are still above late 2015 figures and well past referendum lows. Still above 6,000 which has only been the case for three periods since the FTSE 100 has existed.

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 1 Month

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 5 Year

• 'Euro Strengthened' - This Euro rose against the pound, however, still not an awful situation if this stay the same going forward. Economists predict this is a short term effect. If it does stay low then exporting to Europe becomes cheaper.

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 1 Month

  

  http://www.bloomberg.com/europe - 5 Year

What we do know for certain is that there were no apocalyptic responses. Nuclear war didn't break out, the four horsemen didn't show up and our economy certainly didn't collapse. Further to this forecasts, now that campaigning is over, suggest that this will all go back to normal. 

I am proud to have voted for us to cease to be a member of the European Union and would do it again. I am also sure that there will be no long term financial negatives from this. 

Thank you for reading! I welcome your comments and subscriptions.

The leader of her Majesty's opposition, a whore.

Reading an article on the BBC about Jeremy Corbyn during the EU referendum campaign would have probably riled me up enough, however, every time he opens his mouth Jeremy insists 'the EU was needed to tackle climate change and solve the refugee crisis'

When deciding on how to vote in this referendum, is anyone seriously concerned about our response to the refugee crisis and climate change?

And why do we need the EU to solve these problems? These are non issues in the debate. If you do care about these issues, both of these issues are better solved on a global level (and we have already seen the deficiencies of the EU on both of these, especially the refugee crisis).

Democracy, Sovereignty and Control are my main concerns.

How can the leader of the Labour party have these as his main concern. Sure he spouts about workers right and other issues. However, the majority of speeches he gives on the EU and how we should remain members, he will open with climate change and the refugee crisis. Unless of course these are the only two topics he can discuss with true conviction when suggesting we are better of in the EU.

Jeremy Corbyn is a character which, polls suggest, the public trust more when talking about the EU than that of or Prime Minister, whom I have a severe distrust on the issue. However, he has changed his mind so recently. How can anyone suggest he truly believes that we would be better as a nation within the EU? I smell a rat. I suspect that he is being told by his fellow MP's that he must support remain or face revolt in the party. I suspect that he still believes that we would be better outside the EU, however, with his job being under threat he toes the line.

That being said, I wouldn't give his opinion much credibility or weight if he did come out as a brexiteer.

The situation is probably similar to our PM, David Cameron, who is most likely being told by certain big businesses, eurocrats and other big donors that he must support remain or face the axe/drop of support.


I urge you to vote leave. These establishment whores do not have your best interests at heart. They want to line their pockets and those of their friends. A vote for leave is a vote for freedom and democracy!

If you want to call me a racist. Go ahead!

Good Morning,

Throughout the debate on our membership of the European Union the suggestions that vote leave supporters are racist and xenophobic have got more and more common. Every where you turn on twitter and in the media there are new suggestions that prominent politicians and all that agree with them are racist and would see our borders shut for good.

I will be voting leave on the 23rd. I am not a racist. I am not scared of people from foreign countries. I don't want to stop immigration completely.

How has it become the case that calling for a fair immigration system is racist? And further to that what a ridiculous notion.

In today's society I am a racist if I would prefer skilled Indian, Chinese, Nigerian, Brazilian, etc workers rather than unskilled Romanian, Polish, Spanish and Portuguese.

Where is the sense there? There is none - it is just part of the constant negative and belittling campaign strategies spouted by the Remain campaign.

We are told not to carry on these 'awful campaign tactics' and that political campaigning needs to stop being so bitter and negative.

We are told this by the remain camp. Who then call me a racist. Lots of the untruths spouted by the remain camp annoy and bewilder me, however, this one down right pisses me off. I am not a racist.

Nigel Farage standing in front of his poster is not racist. It is a visualisation of immigration towards the UK. What is racist about it? It is saying that the excessive influx of unskilled labour into our great country is causing it to be near 'breaking point'. What is racist about that? I am no supporter of Nigel Farage with his normal politics and he and his party will be unlikely to ever get my vote, however, he is not a racist for this poster.

When did this world become a place where I can be branded a racist for a clearly non-racially biased view. The arguments make no sense from the remain camp here. Please be wise. Please vote leave.

To vote leave is to vote for a fair immigration system and a real democracy.

No matter what, you aren't voting for the status quo.

Good Morning,

The constant rhetoric from people I work with on the topic of the EU referendum, when they hear which way I will be voting, is that the Brexiteers would cause the destruction of our economy. One went as far as to personalise this and say 'You are to blame when our economy collapses' and another shouted 'You are responsible for how our country turns out!' The latter I was proud to hear.

We hear that to leave the EU is a 'Leap in the dark' which is a fair assessment in my opinion. It is a leap in the dark. We don't know how the future will play out if we leave. We don't know what will happen to the economy, we don't know what will happen with immigration and we don't know what will happen with the security of our country and her borders.

These arguments are all also valid arguments against staying in the EU.

Daniel Hannan (MEP), 'The status quo isn’t on offer in this referendum.' - And how true this is.

Voting to leave has unknown consequences. But voting to remain definitely also has unknown risks. We don't know for certain that countries like Turkey will not become members of the EU, that there will not be an EU army formed, that the Euro will be forced upon the UK for 'ever closer union 'and we don't know if the EU economies will need bailing out again.

However, What we can be certain of is that if the UK votes to leave we will have the power to deal with the issues that present themselves to our great nation as they arise in a timely manner. Rather than having to wait for Eurocrats to act and hope that they act in our best interest.

We can be certain that if we leave we will not be part of an EU army and be forced into conflicts and issues that our not in our countries best interest.

We can be certain that if we leave we will not have to bail out other European nations when there economies collapse, which some are certainly bound for.

It is easy for fat cat politicians to support remain as when it all goes tits up, they can blame the EU. The right path is independence. The right path is for our elected representatives to control legislation in our great nation and to represent our views.

A vote for leave is a vote for freedom, a vote for our own path. A vote to cut the dependency of other nations on the strength of ours.

'You are responsible for how our country turns out!' - I would love to be remembered as part of a movement that liberated Great Britain from the EU. That removed the tyranny of the EU commissioners and allowed democracy to rule our Great Britain.

Labour's Easy Choice

I was writing  another piece and I was about to hit post, however, I thought this deserves its own piece first.

Labour leadership has an easy choice in this referendum. Everyone has slated Corbyn for changing his mind so swiftly on EU membership. As early as January we heard calls from Jeremy saying that leaving the EU would benefit the ordinary worker in the UK, that our membership was bankrupting the UK economy. So why has his opinion changed? If the EU runs the UK it is of no consequence if conservatives are the majority party. Jeremy Corbyn will get his leftist agenda forced upon the UK public without ever having to be a majority, which, as we all know, is unlikely with Corbyn as leader.

This is exactly the reason we must leave the EU. It is an easy undemocratic way for our voice, the voice of the British people, to be silenced if we stay in.

Vote leave and protect our democracy. Let a majority parliament change our country for the better. Rather than letting an unelected party implement their agenda by lobbying the EU.
Vote leave. Vote for democracy.

Not Contesting MP Cox's seat

Reading on Friday that there would be no major parties contesting the seat that Jo Cox held before she tragically passed really frustrated me.

Now I have had some time to think, and have people rage at me on Twitter for making my views public, I have come to the same conclusion. It is not democratic to not contest the seat.

I do understand that what happened to MP Cox was awful. And I am not condoning what happened. However, this is a democracy. There is a process in place. That process should be honoured. If labour still had the majority vote in her constituency of Batley & Spen then there should be no problem retaining her seat.

It shouldn't be a decision that gets to be made by our leaders. Our democracy is already being taken from us by the EU and we are having to pay for the privilege. Let's not destroy more of it.
I know that this decision he already been made, but it shouldn't have been. To all the leaders of major parties. I say well done. You are effectively destroying our democracy on every front. Bravo!

An introduction - Brexit

Good afternoon,

I am a young professional working and living in London as an accountant. The reason I have started this blog is to articulate my political views and, in particular, present a different view to the 'normal' view of young politics in the UK.

This is a particularly good time to start publicising my political views, perhaps even a little late, with the referendum on our membership of the European Union so close.
This first post will be about the topic I find most important in this debate, Sovereignty.
Constantly we are attacked with propaganda and 'facts' about the detrimental effect that either Brexit or Bremain will have on the Economy.

How has this become the most important fact in this debate? Surely the debate should focus on democracy.

Democracy is what has helped this great country blossom and be able to accept swathes of immigrants from the continent and further afield.

Democracy has made this country a powerful force in international diplomacy and take a leading role in peace keeping.

Democracy is what has enabled us to grow to the fifth largest economy in the world. And as a result support the EU through our excessive contributions.

When you think about which way you are going to vote focus on one thing. Do you want to vote for your leaders or not? Do you want to be able to remove these leaders if they are not representing your interests? Do you want someone who has never lived on our great island implementing laws that directly impact your life?

If you answered no to these then it is simple.

Vote Out!

I welcome your comments or questions.